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Jeffrey Lantis

An expert on international relations, foreign policy analysis, European politics, and international security, Jeffrey Lantis received his bachelor's degree from Bethany College, summa cum laude, before earning his Master's degree and Ph.D. from The Ohio State University. He joined the Wooster faculty in 1994. The author of Strategic Dilemmas and the Evolution of German Foreign Policy Since Unification (2002) and Domestic Constraints and the Breakdown of International Agreements (1997), Lantis also edited and contributed to a variety of scholarly publications. He is a member of the International Studies Association, and serves as vice-president/program chair of the Active Learning in International Affairs section of the International Studies Association. In addition, he is one of the coordinators for Wooster's annual Great Decisions lecture series.

Past Q&A's
The Aftermath of Regime Change

Now that the regime of Saddam Hussein has been overthrown by coalition forces, what does the future hold for Iraq and other Middle East countries? How has the image of the United States changed in the eyes of both enemies and allies? Jeffrey Lantis, an associate professor of political science at The College of Wooster and an expert on international conflict and foreign policy analysis, delves into some of these challenging questions.

Q. How will the war in Iraq affect the United States' reputation around the world?

A. The war in Iraq represents a triumph of American military forces, training, and technology. I am concerned, however, that the invasion and occupation of Iraq actually will have destabilizing effects on United States' relations with countries in the Arab world as well as with allies. The events of Sept. 11, and the subsequent war on terrorism gave the Bush administration some moral legitimacy in pursuing a more assertive foreign policy agenda. But while the president has a base of domestic support for the war in Iraq, he failed to convince the international community of the imperative for action. In the short-run, this action has damaged the profile of the United States in the Arab world and strained relations with traditional European allies and great powers like Russia and China. In the long-run, it may fuel extremism and increased terrorist threats to the United States.

Q. What will be the impact of the invasion on the U.S. rift with Europe?

A. The United States has maintained strong relations with many European countries for decades. Our government united with Western European nations in the struggle against Communism after World War II, and we established a mutually dependent relationship with them through trade relations, political ties, and security cooperation. From time to time over the past 50 years, we have had differences of opinion with these allies, but governments have always overcome these issues for the greater good.

The controversy over the invasion of Iraq damaged U.S. relations with some European countries, including France and Germany. But we can repair these relationships if the Bush administration is willing to compromise on some key issues after the war - like an eventual role for the United Nations in rebuilding Iraq and agreement on a multilateral initiative to settle the dispute between Israel and the Palestinians. We have already begun to see European leaders reaching out to the president in attempts to mend fences with the United States.

Q. What is next for Iraq now that the United States has officially declared that Saddam Hussein's regime has been overthrown?

A. There is no doubt that the United States and the coalition won the war, but at this writing, there are concerns about whether we can win the peace. The need for reconstruction of Iraq will be a tremendous burden that the United States cannot, and should not, shoulder alone in the 21st century. Iraq will be militarily occupied and governed by American leaders for a short period of time, but Secretary of State Colin Powell has pledged that we will then move quickly to establish a representative government in Iraq. This idealized model of transition to democracy in Iraq will not be easy to attain, however, and there is growing evidence that post-war Iraq will be plagued by tribal and sectional differences, economic instability, popular unrest, guerilla fighting, and threats along its borders. If Afghanistan represents a model for nation-building in Iraq, reconstruction will be plagued by difficulties.

Q. Did the U.S. invasion set a new precedent for unprovoked attacks on other countries?

A. The decision by the Bush administration to target Saddam Hussein and the Iraqi regime represents a fundamentally new direction for U.S. foreign policy in the post-Cold War era. The president has articulated a new doctrine of preemption and identified our enemies as terrorist networks, states who sponsor them, and states that seek weapons of mass destruction. But I wouldargue that a doctrine of preemption threatens 20th century statutes in international law, the United Nations Charter, and international norms of territorial sovereignty and non-intervention. To critics, the U.S.-led invasion of Iraq represents an act of imperialism and demonstrates a new assertiveness in our foreign policy profile.

Q. What is next for United States foreign policy in the Middle East?

A.
The Middle East is a complex region of the world, full of both challenges and opportunities. I hope that the next stage of U.S. foreign policy in the region actually will be a progressive step toward future peace and prosperity. The Bush administration has a unique opportunity to build on the success of the war in Iraq by launching a new round of peace negotiations between the Israelis and Palestinians. The United States could use its political capital in the region by pressuring both sides to reach some final settlement on Palestinian authority and statehood.

Furthermore, the Bush administration can use the example of the war in Iraq as diplomatic leverage to seek concessions from countries like Syria and Iran on such concerns as support for terrorism and the proliferation of weapons of mass destruction. There is a danger, however, that some conservatives in the Bush administration will instead see this as an opportunity for "saber-rattling" by pursuing a much more aggressive posture towards these countries.


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