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What We've Learned About
Mars
With President Bush's recent space initiative that includes
having humans on Mars in two decades and the landing of a spacecraft
on the planet's surface in January 2004, Mars has been in the headlines
recently. John Lindner, professor of physics at The College of Wooster,
discusses what we have learned from our current exploration of Mars
and what our future may hold on the red planet.
Q. What are we learning from the current explorations
of Mars?
A. The Mars Exploration Rovers Spirit and Opportunity
are trying to unlock the history of Mars, our closest and most Earth-like
neighbor. Mars orbiting spacecraft have detected evidence of water,
especially in Mars early history. Spirit is investigating
Gusev crater, whose topography suggests an ancient water outflow
or lake, while Opportunity is exploring Meridiani Planum, whose
mineralogy suggests another watery history.
Q. What are the chances that life once existed on the
Red Planet?
A. Today, Mars atmosphere is cold and thin
and dry. However, before it fully cooled from its formation, Mars
was likely warmer and wetter and may have provided a brief window
for life to arise. In fact, there is some evidence for ancient Martian
life in the meteorite ALH84001, which was blasted from the surface
of Mars at least 16 million years ago to land on Earth, in Antarctica.
Definitive evidence of past or present life on Mars would be one
of the most wonderful discoveries I can imagine. Life arising independently
on Earth and Mars would suggest that life in the universe is common
rather than accidental, built into the laws of physics rather than
peripheral to them. Alternately, if Mars life seeded Earth life
via meteorites exchanged between planets, than we would be Martians.
Q. What is your view of President Bushs new space
initiative?
A. I welcome the Presidents space
initiative. Upon the advice of many experts, the President has explicitly
set a goal of human exploration beyond Earth orbit, ultimately leading
to the human exploration of Mars, perhaps in the 2020s. In stark
contrast, during the 1990s, Congress practically forbade NASA from
even mentioning the words "human" and "Mars"
in the same sentence.
This kind of focus is exactly what NASA needs right now, especially
in the wake of the loss of the Columbia space shuttle a year ago.
NASA should be about exploration, and this new initiative should
invigorate the program and inspire a new generation of scientists
and engineers.
Q. Can we afford this space initiative?
A. We currently spend considerably less
than 1% of the federal budget on NASA. Under the new space initiative,
we will continue to spend about half a penny of every tax dollar
on space exploration. That works out to about 15 to 20 cents per
American per day. Yes, we can afford it.
Human exploration beyond Earth orbit is work worthy of a great
civilization. The Egyptians built the pyramids; we will explore
the solar system. Humans on Moon and Mars will be dramatic and peaceful
demonstrations of our technology and enduring testimonies to our
spirit. It may be all we are remembered for a thousand years hence.
Q. What are the prospects for a human mission to Mars?
A. The space initiative makes clear that the purpose
of returning to Moon is to prepare the way for Mars. Many of the
challenges of human Mars exploration have been exaggerated: it is
affordable, if stretched out over a couple of decades; the radiation
risk is manageable, equivalent to smoking several packets of cigarettes
each day. Actually, the greatest challenge may be psychological,
as a Mars mission will likely last two years. Apollo 11 astronaut
Michael Collins has suggested sending married couples to provide
mutual support.
Many people have been closely following the robotic missions of
Spirit and Opportunity. NASAs Mars Exploration Rover Mission
web site has had over a billion hits in the last month. Imagine
how closely a piloted mission would be followed. Now thats
my kind of reality TV show.
The space initiative should return humans to Moon in the next decade
and send them to Mars in the decade after. Todays students
are just the right age to participate, although it will be a great,
shared adventure for all. As one NASA engineer said recently about
the Mars rovers, "You dont need a NASA badge to take
pride in these accomplishments".
Q. Will humans ever live on Mars?
A. Beginning next decade, robotic bases can be constructed
on Mars, the foundations of future human bases modeled on Antarctic
research stations. Colonists can follow. Mars is an Earth-like planet
with a similar day-night cycle and an atmosphere thick enough to
protect against solar flares. Oxygen is easy to extract from the
air. Water is abundant in permafrost and polar ice. Familiar volcanic
and hydrologic processes have shaped the landscape.
Humans need new destinations and ever-expanding horizons. Mars
provides breathing room for a new branch of human society to develop
differently. Because light and radio take at least six minutes to
go back and forth between planets, people on Earth and Mars will
never converse normally; consequently, Martians will speak with
Martians and develop their own, distinctive culture, a New World
for the new millennium.
I am not certain that Mars has ever hosted life, but I am confident
that it will, and it can be this generations eternal honor
to make it so.
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