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Description:
We know very little about political dynamics in states that have just experienced an internal war, despite the increasing need to deal with such states in the post-Cold War world. Matthew Krain examines what prompts leaders in post-revolutionary states to employ repression or accommodation. Through statistical analysis and case studies of Iran, Cuba, Nicaragua, and Bolivia, he also examines the effects of these choices on how the domestic opposition reacts, what type of political system develops in the new state, and whether or not the leaders who institute these policies survive in power in the long run. Krain concludes with a series of policy recommendations.
Contents:
PART I: DEVELOPING A MODEL OF THE POST-INTERNAL WAR STATE
Studying the Post-Internal War State
Repression and Accommodation in Post-Internal War States
You Say You Want a Revolution: Selecting Test Cases
PART II: THE CAUSES OF REPRESSION AND ACCOMMODATION IN POST-REVOLUTIONARY STATES
Charting Policy Mix Choices: Event Data and the Historical Process Model
The Use of Repression and Accommodation in Post-Revolutionary States
PART III: THE CONSEQUENCES OF REPRESSION AND ACCOMMODATION IN POST-REVOLUTIONARY STATES
Responding to Revolution: Opposition in Post-Revolutionary States
Sharing the Cake: Political System Development in Post-Revolutionary States
Only the Good Die Young: Political Survival of Revolutionary Elites
PART IV: CONCLUSION
What Is To Be Done?: Concluding Thoughts on Political Dynamics in Post-Revolutionary States
APPENDICES
Survey of Experts on Repression and Accommodation
PIWAR Data Project Coding Sheet
PIWAR Data Project Codebook
Elite Perceptions of Security/Vulnerability
Opposition Activity Coding Instruments
What do other academics have to say about the book?
"Krain identifies an important aspect of internal war, the degree of accommodation between winners and losers in internal war. He then traces both its source in the level of security of the winners and delineates its consequences on the subsequent behavior of oppositions, the likelihood of democracy, and the survival of the revolutionary elite, using a remarkable mixture of detailed historical work, data creation, and sophisticated statistical analysis."
- Roy Licklider, Rutgers University
"Krain's book exhibits a breadth and sophistication that I have not seen in some time. He uses a simple theory about perceptions to develop more than 20 hypotheses. Further, he tirelessly and rigorously probes his data, conducting additional analyses to demonstrate that his findings are not artifacts. The breadth of methods used is stunning. Scholars interested in repression and the outcomes of internal war will learn a great deal from this work."
- Will Moore, Florida State University
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